I really don't think that is even a hot take. Look at Garder's stats with the Jags and then look at Trevor's stats.
Week 18 game thread?
- Thread starter Van Everyman
- Start date
Before the Pats drafted Mac, I wanted them to sign Minshew. I thought he'd be pretty good here.
If the Saints had traded for him to back up Jameis, they'd probably would have been one of the top seeds in the NFC.
35 TDs 9 INTs in his career if I saw it correctly when I was out to dinner. Amazing that he isn't starting somewhere
In addition to Brady and Belichick's brilliance, the Pats long run has been fueled by other teams' idiocy.
In fairness to Lawrence, the 2020 Jaguars actually had a real professional football coach.
But yeah, Minshew put up passable metrics in a talent-poor offense last year. And it wasn’t a system thing — Minshew missed a few games due to injury, and his backup was awful. His advanced age for a third-year player and below-average arm strength cap his upside, but he’s a pretty good QB right now, which I don’t think Hurts is.
The question is how much you think Hurts’s mobility helps the Eagles’ running game; that’s notoriously hard to measure, but it’s real. Minshew is an adequate athlete for a QB, but he’s obviously not in the same area code as Hurts when it comes to running ability. I’m skeptical that that’s enough to offset Minshew’s superior passing skills, though.
Here are his current career stats going into tonight:
26 g, 523-824 (63.5%), 5,783 yds, 7.0 y/a, 39 td, 11 int, 94.4 rating, 100 rushes, 508 yds, 1 td, 18 fumbles (not sure how many were lost)
And with a guy like this out there, at just 25 years of age, making like no money, there are still teams starting crappy QBs. It boggles the mind.
It helps the Eagles secondary is full of guys who were working at Wawa recently
Can the Eagles easily fall to the 7 seed here with a loss? Rams is a tougher task than the Bucs, you'd think
God damn, I've talked about this pool I'm in before. Well, I'm in 1st (which pays 13k), and I have ONE more pick to make today. If I get it right, I lock it up. If I get it wrong, I could still win, but I open the door for multiple people to potentially catch and tie me (I lose the tiebreakers if they do). I made two picks yesterday and went 1-1 (thanks KC for kneeling at the end, you fucksticks).
If you had one pick to make today, any spread, any over/under, who would it be and why? I'm so in my own head right now, it's ridiculous.
If you had one pick to make today, any spread, any over/under, who would it be and why? I'm so in my own head right now, it's ridiculous.
I love Houston +11. The line when they played in Tennessee was 10 and the Titans didn't have Henry then either. I'd argue the Texans have improved more than the Titans have since then and now they're catching 11 at home? Sure, the Titans have everything to play for but that can easily work both ways - the Chiefs had a ton to play for yesterday against a Broncos team with a dead man walking coach playing for nothing and probably should've lost. It happened to the Pats in Miami in '15 and I'm sure there are tons of other examples. I see it being a close game and I wouldn't be that surprised if the Texans won.
Runner-up: Bears-Vikings over 44.5. That total was 47 when they played outdoors on a Monday night in Chicago with Fields, who's considerably worse than Dalton at the moment. The Bears are a little healthier in the secondary since then but they still don't have Hicks or Mack. This feels like a high game in a dome with two dead coaches playing out the string.
I definitely see where you're coming from with Houston, but I just don't see putting my season on the line on a Houston team that, even though they've been playing well, could easily get their asses handed to them with ease.
The Vikings/Bears game is interesting though, with Cousins and Dalton playing. FUCKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK
All week, that was the one I was looking at, but a few things, I'm petrified about spending the entire day waiting for it, and the Raiders seem to be yanking things out of their ass in recent weeks. Also, it's appearing that Darren Waller may suit up tonight, and if he does, that changes things dramatically, especially with Carr finding a rapport with Zay Jones (not to mention Renfrow). I was also thinking about maybe taking the Over on that one (48.5).
For the record, our spreads are a bit different. They are based on the Sunday Boston Herald lines, and there are no even numbers, so if you take a favorite at -7, you have to give -7.5. If you take the underdog, you get +7.5. So that San Diego line is -3.5. That's how we don't end up with ties...
Derwin James, baby.
Also, that half point hook is definitely a reason for pause, though I think LAC takes this by a TD plus.
Sure, they could get completely throttled but it doesn’t matter if they lose by 12 or 40. I happen to think they’ll keep it within 11 a majority of the time.
Any one of the 56 teams covering/overs/unders could happen - that’s what makes gambling really hard. There’s a reason Vegas is full of tall, beautiful buildings and bookies all drive nice cars.
I like the over in this game. Neither team plays much defense. Also like the Texans and Jets ATS, the unders at Pit-Bal and SF-LAR.
I think right now, I'm leaning towards the Over in the SD/LV game at 48.5 or the Bears over at 44.5. Taking the late game makes a bit of sense, because if I can find out what the other guys did in the earlier games (not set in stone that I can find out), I can potentially make a large hedge on the Under for the night game and lock in some winnings.
Right now, I have a 2 point lead on 1 guy who has 2 picks left, and a 3 point lead on 2 guys with 3 picks left. I have one pick left, so if any of them go 3-0 for the week, they tie me and I lose the tiebreaker (2nd place is 6k, 3rd place is 4k, and 4th place is 1k/money back). If one guy goes 3-0 in the early window and ties me, I could take the SD over in the pool, and then drop a 3k or so bet on under. If the under comes in, I get second place, and the 3k, and if the over comes in, I win the 13k, but lose the 3k bet).
Right now, I have a 2 point lead on 1 guy who has 2 picks left, and a 3 point lead on 2 guys with 3 picks left. I have one pick left, so if any of them go 3-0 for the week, they tie me and I lose the tiebreaker (2nd place is 6k, 3rd place is 4k, and 4th place is 1k/money back). If one guy goes 3-0 in the early window and ties me, I could take the SD over in the pool, and then drop a 3k or so bet on under. If the under comes in, I get second place, and the 3k, and if the over comes in, I win the 13k, but lose the 3k bet).
I'm trying to figure out if that's good or bad for the Over.
Now I'm leaning Chicago/Minnesota Over again. I hate this..
Well, Nagy has to know he's a goner ... so he's likely to be more wide-open offensively. Zimmer's on the bubble, and a conservative guy anyway, so he's more likely to value the win over displaying offensive creativity.
Happy to help!
Only Roethlisberger would go on a farewell tour but won’t say he’s retiring for whatever reason(s) make sense on his brain.
I guess he trod his own path from Favre, who kept changing his mind.
I guess he trod his own path from Favre, who kept changing his mind.
How did they manage to pack all of the interesting games into the late starting times and none into the early? Yeah, I could have been a microbe on Mars, like I tell my wife when she gets too picky.
Miami and the points might have some appeal if you figure the Pats will pull the starters once Buffalo gets far enough ahead.
This is really not a great slate of games in the 1 o’clock window. Need a AB like meltdown to peak my interest..
I’m rooting for a meteor in the Stillers Ratbirds game and rooting for a lot of offense in the Bears game for DOTB